Friday, 15 April 2011

Week 33 - Update

Only a short update post this week as I'm very tired after a long day sitting my Prince2 exam and I'm finding it incredibly difficult to concentrate or settle on a team for Week 33. What I do know is we'll all be picking up players from the three teams with two games, so I'm focusing on their news.

Chelsea are going to be without Ramires & Alex for the first game at West Brom, but both could be back for the Birmingham game. This news is extremely annoying for anyone who had Ramires in their side as he was a great cheap DG option & enabled extra spending elsewhere.

So who replaces him? If 4-3-3 remains then it's likely to be either Benayoun or Zhirkov, with Benayoun the more likely. If the Israeli does start then Ancelotti could be tempted to start with Torres as the two had a great understanding at Liverpool, but then again, Torres was so awful in midweek it would be a big suprise if Drogba sat on the bench again.

Could Ancelotti use 4-4-2 again to accommodate both the strikers?  Would that means Essien & Lampard in the middle with Malouda left, Benayoun right? What about Anelka? The honest truth is we just don't know, so you're going to have to go with your own instincts on this one, but I'm now trying to fit both Drogba & Torres in my team, despite the fact it appears impossible.

Arsenal have Szczęsny (I haven't missed spelling that name) back from injury & he's set to come straight in to the starting line-up for the Liverpool game. Eboue may continue at right-back with Sagna struggling & Djourou is being tipped to return alongside Koscielny at the expenses of Squillaci. Alex Song will be hoping to take back the anchor role from Diaby and the rest is s fairly likely to be Wilshere, Fabregas, Nasri, Walcott (or Arshavin) & Van Persie.

Birmingham are expecting Roger Johnson to be ready after suffering concussion last weekend, so McCleish may stick with a back four of Carr, Johnson, Ridgewell & Parnaby. Zigic and Bentley could return to the squad but Jiranek and Obafemi Martins remain on the sidelines.

Philips & Jerome will probably continue upfront as they've been playing well, so even if he's back Zigic may have to settle for a place on the bench. The midfield is less certain but I'd be really surprised if Larsson was benched, he's been playing well as an out-and-out winger since Birmingham moved to 4-4-2. Ferguson & Gardner are near certainties for the centre, so that would leave Bowyer & Bentley (if he's back) fighting for the final midfield spot.

From the recommended single games, Everton are still without Mikel Arteta, Louis Saha & have doubts over Jack Rodwell, Seamus Coleman & Tim Cahill. This means Bily, Heitinga & Beckford should all keep their places.

Blackpool are without David Vaughan again so Southern should continue & Richard Kingson will remain in goal despite Matt Gilks' return to the squad. If I could afford Charlie Adam this week I would as I feel he's going to score big in Blackpool's biggest game of the season so far.

Remember, Man City, Fulham, Bolton, Stoke & Wolves DO NOT PLAY in Week 33, so don't bother picking any players up from these sides for this week (but note Fulham, Bolton, Stoke & Wolves play twice in Week 34).

That's all I've got time for in terms of injury news, so please check Fantasy Football Scout, BBC Sport or Jeremy & Neal over on FantasyEPL if you're looking for news on any of the other SG teams.

I have no idea what I'm doing with my team at this point in time, but this is on my page:

Howard, Heitinga, Carr, Luiz, A.Cole, Wilshere, Benayoun, Lampard, Philips, Van Persie, Drogba

Spending £19m on Drogba will be a disaster if he doesn't start both, but the thought of not having him as he grabs two hat-tricks is a scary one. I've toyed with the idea of getting Cech, Malouda, Fabregas & Torres in at different times this week, but it's very difficult to manoeuvre with A.Cole, Lampard, Drogba & RvP taking up over 65% of my budget.

Stephen Carr is there in place of Kolarov at the moment, I've squeezed Phillips in & Benayoun is in too, but none of those switches are likely to remain. In fact, the whole damn team could change before the deadline, I'm that confused!

I'm going to leave it there I'm getting stressed. Please let me know how your team is shaping up. Anyone else finding picking a team this week one of the toughest of the season?

Cheers,
AM (not such a short post after all!)

p.s. It's never too late to join the Blog Facebook Group - we've passed 1250 members & it's always great to add more! You can also follow me on Twitter (@nikarg)!

76 comments:

  1. will Benayoun and philips start?

    ReplyDelete
  2. Will Smalling start?

    ReplyDelete
  3. I agree this is by far the toughest week to choose, if we could only know ancelotti's mystery lineup

    ReplyDelete
  4. kingson

    luiz koscielny a.cole

    lampard malouda eboue (4.86)/b.ferguson

    suarez rvp torres

    I hate my team!!!

    --harrrrr

    ReplyDelete
  5. BLOG CUP RESULTS ???

    ReplyDelete
  6. I wish Carlo can tell me if I'm starting tomorrow!

    ReplyDelete
  7. I'm settling on.

    Kingson
    Koscielny / Luiz / Heitinga
    Valencia / Lampard / Fabregas / Southern
    RvP / Drogba / drogBa

    I'm banking upon a strong showing from Blackpool at home and comfortable wins for Chelsea.

    Fabregas is in over Wilshere + Ramires Or Benayoun. A possible Fab free kick goal and a Blackpool squad where anyone could score leads me to Fab + Southern

    ReplyDelete
  8. I wrote this in my Player Picks post

    "Blog Cup Final results will now be up NEXT WEEK as there is still a chance of a point adjustment right up to the weekend."

    ReplyDelete
  9. Cech is the only player that can guarantee a minimum of 20 points this week, i wonder why he's not so popular

    ReplyDelete
  10. i am really undecided about drogba too. He usually scores big but then again i could play it safe and upgrade to Cech and improve my team in other ways. Tough call!

    ReplyDelete
  11. Friedel Luiz Kolarov Aurelio Lampard Wilshire Hitz Benayoun Drogba RvP Torres

    Pretty happy with it although I don't have any Bham players. Larsson has been playing well and starting as of late but he's not an out and out phantom pt machine and with bentley possibly back will be sharing kicks. Otherwise I ready to rock!

    Good luck all

    ReplyDelete
  12. @Nik

    I love that team you're not settled on i could pick everyone except Howard and Heitinga. I think they'll all start.

    ReplyDelete
  13. man this is by far the hardest week...and leading my private league by only 6 pts makes it even more nerve rattling....

    so this is what i have been able to come down to after numerous changes and heart aches..yes heart aches...

    Howard
    Simpson luiz smalling
    wilshere fab benayoun ferguson
    torres rvp drogba

    8 Dgers...hoping smalling stays in the side with rio playing Fa cup...

    i hav malouda suarez valencia amongst others is the back ground....still time before deadline so this might not stay.

    ReplyDelete
  14. Well, the Ramires news sucks. So few sure starters for Chelsea. If I drop A. Cole to Carr, I could fit in either Torres or Fabs. Which one is best?

    Here is how it's looking:

    Cech
    Kol-Luiz-Carr
    Hitz-Wilshire-Ferguson-Fabs
    RvP-Drogba-Phillips

    Or, what about this crazy lineup?
    Kingson
    Kol-Luiz-Carr
    Hitz-Yossi-Ferguson-Lampard
    RvP-Drogba-Torres

    ReplyDelete
  15. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
  16. @kwyjibo

    had to jus move ramires to yossi...
    the Torres and Fabs is definately a toss up...torres i hav a feelin wont start...but he will com on and i feel he gonna get at least 1 goal....if he scores in the first game..he gonna start the 2nd....

    fabs has jus not been himself...but he does pop up for those odd assist and penalties which is what i hoping he does this week...

    for lampard see fab comments above...

    so i squeezed in both...

    With cech vs torres...i definately see cech outscoring torres whether torres starts both games or not

    hope that helped

    ReplyDelete
  17. Papa there will be no penalties for cesc as long as RvP is on the pitch. AW confirmed RvP is the preferred penalty taker. Just a heads up.

    ReplyDelete
  18. Cech
    Kolarov - Luiz - Cole
    Eboue - Wilshire - Ferguson - Yossi
    RVP - Torres - Drogba

    Just about settled on this - maybe put Carr in over Cole and upgrade Ferguson to Essien?

    Nik, you're right this week is a killer

    ReplyDelete
  19. A very tough week! Changed my team around numerous times today, and have never really felt happy with it. Would love to have Droba, but spending 19.56 on him is just killing the rest of my team when I already have RVP (18) and Lampard (15) in there. I agree with AM that Adam could hit big points tomorrow too. Good luck to everyone.

    ReplyDelete
  20. @Papa Bear, @kellz - thanks for the info.

    Yes, it's becoming such a tough week to make choices. If cesc isn't on PKs then I can drop Hitz to Southern and bring in Lampard.

    What about this?
    Cech
    Kol-Luiz-Carr
    Wilshere-Yossi-Southern-Lampard
    RvP-Drogba-Phillips

    Not entirely happy with it, but not too bad, either. 9 DGers! (if they all play both, which is always a doubt)

    ReplyDelete
  21. This is defninietly a very tough week. I'm pretty certain this will be my team though..

    Howard
    Kolarov Luiz Carr
    Hitz Lampard Fabregas Wilshere
    Drogba RVP SantaCruz

    I still hold Suarez, Torres, Adam, Cole and Valencia behind the scenes though. Potentially an awful lot of points i'm about to drop..

    Irons.

    ReplyDelete
  22. Hitz + Torres
    or
    Lamps + RSC

    ??

    I've always preferred a premium attacker over a premium midfielder, but I don't know this time...

    ReplyDelete
  23. anyone rate Ba getting a good score for west ham? i think they will have a good game and can see him scoring well despite only having the one game this week

    ReplyDelete
  24. @ anon 6:54pm - I wanted Demba Ba, but just didn't have the cash after paying out for expensive DG players. But I also think he will pickup good points.

    ReplyDelete
  25. How bout this

    Reina
    Heitinga Bale G.Caldwell
    VdV Valencia Wilshire Meireles
    Carroll Suarez Drogba

    Anyone????

    ReplyDelete
  26. Hate my team
    currently sitting on
    cech
    luiz/smalling/walker
    hitz/southern/lamp/wilshire
    rvp/drogs/rsc

    2 fillers, I hold hitz, smalling, and walker at discounts. Was thinking of moving Walker to Carr. If I do that I can go from Lamps and RSC to Gardner and Suarez.
    Help please

    ReplyDelete
  27. Trick week..i've finalized my team as follows:

    KINGSON
    LUIZ / COLE / HEITINGA
    FABREGAS / WILSHERE / BENAYOUN / SOUTHERN
    V.PERSIE / TORRES / DROGBA

    5 Chelsea players
    3 Arsenal players
    2 Blackpool players
    1 Everton player

    I dont care picking up Tores and Drogba at the same time. I would be more than happy if each of them is given 1 full game. If they play both matches, it is a bonus.

    DrA

    ReplyDelete
  28. Can somebody comment my team?

    Kingson
    Luiz Smalling cole
    Lampard Fabregas Southern Wilshere
    RvP Suarez Torres

    still 1.8 in the bank :D
    Really hard week!!!!!!!

    ReplyDelete
  29. I am going to go out on a limb and say Torres is not worth it... even if it is a double game week. Meireles is kicking ass, he could put up more in a single game than torres fabregas... etc.

    what about carroll? Valencia is cheap and playing aces too

    ReplyDelete
  30. I have

    Reina
    Heitinga G. Caldwell Bale
    VDV Meireles Valencia Wilshire
    Drogba Suarez Carroll

    Any tips on what to do?

    ReplyDelete
  31. I'm putting all my trust in Torres this week!

    Kingson
    Kol Luiz Terry
    Valencia Lampard Walcott Benayoun
    RvP Torres RSC

    I have enough to switch Terry to Cole, but that's the only change I'm contemplating now.

    Good luck to everyone!

    ReplyDelete
  32. Hahnemann (zero is better than negative I guess)
    Luiz, Zhirkov, Koscielny
    Lampard, Valencia (discount), Fabregas, Bowyer
    Torres, RVP, Phillips.

    I toyed with Anelka for Torres, but same conundrum as you all, could they start Torres/Drogba together? and no way I could make room for Drogba, even after the Hahnemann sacrificial lamb.

    Thoughts?

    ReplyDelete
  33. Like a lot of people, I'm really struggling coming to a final team this week. Due to the lack of confidence in starting sports for many of the double gamers in attacking positions, I may just load up on Chelsea's strong defensive options. Currently sitting on:

    Cech
    Walker, Luiz, Terry, Cole
    Wilshire, Gardner, Nasri, Lampard
    Phillips, Santa Cruz

    In the long run, I didn't have confidence that Torres, Malouda, Essien, Anelka, Drogba, Larsson, Jerome or Phillips would start both games. Phillips price makes him a much easier pill to swallow if he does end up on the bench. I preferred to go with players that I was almost certain would start both games in Wilshire, Gardner, Lampard, Nasri, Terry, Cole and Luiz. Clearly that leaves a cheap and worthless forward line. I'll take that if Chelsea post at least one clean sheet. Total of 9 double gamers that represent 91% of my points allotment.

    Cech's Mates

    ReplyDelete
  34. The anon guy with this team:

    Reina
    Heitinga G. Caldwell Bale
    VDV Meireles Valencia Wilshire
    Drogba Suarez Carroll

    Needs to seriously change things. 2 DGers? 4 Liverpool players with an away game at Arsenal? All change please

    ReplyDelete
  35. ============================================

    HELP! I HAVE 14.53 LEFT with this current team (which i like!):

    Cech
    Kolarov Luiz A.Cole _________
    VDV Wilshere Eboue (2.17) Lamps __________
    VanPersie Phillips ___________

    I can spend the 14.53 on a defender, middie, or striker and can't decide which or who! Adams? Fabregas? Torres? Walcott?

    ============================================

    ReplyDelete
  36. I may have caught you just in time AM. :) What you think about my above question?

    ReplyDelete
  37. I'm counting on torres. In Fifa 11 i scored 5 goals with him so that was a signal(in real madrid by the way :D )

    here's my team:
    kingson
    smalling luiz cole
    lampard fabregas wilshere southern
    RVP suarez TORRES

    ReplyDelete
  38. OH AND REGARDING MY QUESTION ABOVE, i forgot to mention I have Malouda at a discount of 14.00!! So, he is an option as well!!! Tough decision.

    ReplyDelete
  39. Wow,should just keep one post and put 'DITTO" for the rest. I feel I am in great company, as I have reshuffled my team more times then I can remember and most likey there is more to come.
    So far..
    Cech
    Luiz/Smalling/Murphy
    Fabregas/Southern/Wilshere/Essien
    Drogba/RVP/Ba
    Not happy at all, but here are a couple of my thoughts.

    Cech....personally, I can't see how you couldn't.
    Murphy...a zero as I am out of money and can't have 4 strikers or I could fit in Cruz.
    Fabregas..of all Arsenal players I feel he will have the best week. With their match ups that may not be saying much.
    Southern..hoping for any points
    Wilshere....do not like it at all
    Essien..may be a sleeper but hoping for average
    Drogba..After his last game I could not sleep if he were not on my team and his cost is killing me.
    RVP...Again, could not sleep and miss having him on a double,and combined with Drogba it's all or nothing here!
    Ba...My personal pick as I just have one of those feelings. 20 points!!
    Last comment: I just don't understand Torres over Cech. Those teams I see with Howard/Torres..you have more faith then I do (by far!). I am standing with Cech/Ba for the same price.

    Good luck..this will be interesting for sure!

    ReplyDelete
  40. It's always risky loading up on one team in defence, but this week it seems like everybody is at it. I doubled up last week on Luiz and Cole and Cole came through for me. I hope this week will be a classic example of the pitfalls though, as i'm only going with Luiz :D

    I'm not quite sure why everyone seems to think Chelsea will get 2 clean sheets. The implied probability of this happening (going by betfair odds) is around 34%.

    I'm confident Howard @3.99 will outscore Cech pound for pound.

    Irons

    ReplyDelete
  41. Sorry, got that completely wrong. The implied probability of Chelsea getting 2 clean sheets is only 19%

    Irons

    ReplyDelete
  42. suarez+torres or RSC+drogba?

    Here is my team(still not sure) DAMN IT!

    kingson: if blackpool play well in defence he should be good
    luiz and cole: COOL
    smalling: if ferdinand returns then ***. But he should keep his place in the 11.
    fabregas: better than nasri/arshavin i think
    lampard: should score?!
    wilshere: good luck kid
    southern: ???
    suarez: against man utd was awesome! We'll see...
    RVP: good form and 11 goals in 2011(league)!
    AND FINALLY...
    FERNANDO TORRES: Lately he SUCKS! But i ave a feeling that he'll play and score(64%

    ReplyDelete
  43. Sorry..last post.Promise Kellz.
    Cech
    Luiz/Smalling/Heitinga
    Fabregas/Essien/Puncheon/Southern
    RVP/Ba/Drogba
    Not even going to look at it again!!!!!
    Cech....28 points for the double!
    Torres..Good luck. I wish nothing but the best. Unless the 3 teams ahead of me in my league have him then...7 points total!

    ReplyDelete
  44. Finally, people (Hell yeah AM!) understand the Drogs/Torres combo this week.... ba'jesus. Herp de Derp'

    ReplyDelete
  45. Drogba/Santa Cruz/Southern or Torres/Wilshere/Phillips???? Somebody help me!!!

    ReplyDelete
  46. Valencia and Torres OR Lamps and Phillips?

    And, simple question:if you had 14.53 who would you buy between Malouda (at discount), Adam, Walcott or Torres?

    Anonymous @ 10:01pm - I'd go with Torres/Wilshere/Phillips or, if you're uncertain on Torres, bring in another middie (if you can), like Fabregas, Walcott or Adam to replace him.

    ReplyDelete
  47. pls help

    what would u guys pick

    Kingson
    luiz/carr/heitinga
    Lamps/Fabs/Ferguson/benayoun
    RvP/Drogs/Jerome

    or

    Kingson
    Luiz/Carr/Heitinga/A.Cole
    Lamps/Benayoun/Wilshere
    RvP/Drogs/Philips

    Toughest week ever!

    ReplyDelete
  48. I'm going with

    Howard
    Luiz Cole Heitinga
    Lampard Yossi Larsson Southern
    RVP Drogba RSC.

    gotta go and see you guys at barn door.

    ReplyDelete
  49. @Radiopool-->Lamps and Phillips for sure

    Ive settled on my team except for the following:
    Gardner/RSC or Wilshere/Phillips

    Which combo you guys like better?

    C-Hawk

    ReplyDelete
  50. @Ken (from previous string):

    After absorbing zeros for Almunia and Hernandez last weekend, I tumbled out of the top 1000 to land at 1352 with 2891 points. Hoping to recover with the double gamers this weekend.

    Like you I am keeping Smalling and crossing my fingers. In fact, for this GW we share identical defensive lines as well as our GK. We both also hold Fabs and Essien.

    So I'm hoping you crush it this GW, since that will mean I probably will too.

    Congrats on a fine debut season, by the way.

    ReplyDelete
  51. Howard
    Kolarov Carr Luiz
    VDV Lampard Wilshere Larsson
    RVP Drogba RSC

    7 DGers
    3 SGers
    1 no show

    ReplyDelete
  52. Cech
    Carr,Luiz,Parnaby
    Lampard,Wilshere,Southern,Bowyer
    RVP,Drogba,Phillips

    10DG players plus Southern as filler..i think Cech is a no brainer as Chelsea could easily kept 2 clean sheet and get a lot of points. Carr and Parnaby is cheap and they might get at least 1 clean sheet. I hope Bowyer continue scoring as i got him at BD (5.45), Wilshere will starts both game so i chose him ahead of Benayoun.

    RVP is giant while the dilemma will be focus whether to pick Drogba or Torres as the decision will change the team completely. But my guts says this one. The hardest decision whether to drop Kolarov at discount but since i have a lot to catch up in my private league, i'm gambling Parnaby in the squad.

    ReplyDelete
  53. cech - he'll score >25points
    walker - keep for future
    bardsley - same above (easy games coming)
    luiz - well you noe y..
    lamp8 - DG, easy game
    fab4 - DG, 1 easy game
    southern - filler
    ferguson - DG
    caroll - have at discount
    rvp - no brainer
    santa claus - filler

    brilliant or stupid?
    and i'll get back to suarez and Hperger during the game...

    ReplyDelete
  54. THERE IS NOTHING MENTION ABOUT C.FABREGAS

    -ARSENAL-

    ReplyDelete
  55. its a very hard week to choose who to pick. for now my team is :

    kingson
    luiz, heitinga, a.cole
    lampard, wilshere, s.larsson, southern
    rvp, drogba, phillips

    still not sure about my starting line up. I'll appreciate with any comment from you guys.

    Thx

    ReplyDelete
  56. Team 1:
    Howard
    Luiz , Smalling , Parnaby
    Lampard , Malouda , Hitzlsperger , Southern
    Van Persie , Drogba , Santa Cruz

    or

    Team 2:
    Howard
    Luiz , Terry , Smalling , Walker
    Lampard , Malouda , Wilshere , Hitzlsperger
    Van Persie , Demba Ba


    Which one better ?

    ReplyDelete
  57. friedel
    heitinga,luiz,carr
    hitz,valencia,fabregas,nasri,adam
    rvp,torres

    all my SG have discount
    have a hunch arsenal will play better then chelsea,although chelsea got easy game ahead..

    -man u fans-

    ReplyDelete
  58. what do you think better between howard + gudjohnsen (filler) or kingson + phillips ??

    ReplyDelete
  59. i dont trust kingson..

    ReplyDelete
  60. BIG QUESTION, F.LAMPARD or ANELKA?

    F.Lampard is Pinalty Taker, Free Kick Takers.
    N.Anelka is Goal Scorer.

    ReplyDelete
  61. http://www.footballfancast.com/2011/04/football-news/premier-league-preview-everton-v-blackburn

    RSC is a doubt..

    ReplyDelete
  62. Howard and Drogba or Cech and Ashley cole/JT

    ReplyDelete
  63. AM.
    do u think benayoun has any chance of playing atleast 1 game??? or atleast start against west brom?// plz help

    ReplyDelete
  64. I put torres(not drogba) in my team firstly because he's cheap. Secondly i wanted to keep suarez cause his price might go up really quickly(7.18 now)

    ReplyDelete
  65. king ||

    luiz,cole,kosc ||

    eboue,wilshere.lampard,malouda ||

    rvp,phillips,torres

    still hate it!!

    --sweets

    ReplyDelete
  66. zigic or phillips?

    ReplyDelete
  67. http://www.arsenal.com/news/news-archive/szczesny-looks-set-for-first-team-comeback

    Szczesny and djourou to start against liverpool.

    And keep an eye on it, because Vermaelen could play again this season! (It's a bit strange with Arsenal themselves calliing him the Verminator though!)

    ReplyDelete
  68. http://www.guardian.co.uk/football/2011/apr/15/squad-sheets-west-bromwich-chelsea

    Guardian teamsheet has mikel not benayoun??

    ReplyDelete
  69. http://www.chelsea.vitalfootball.co.uk/matchprere.asp?a=522937

    Other Chelsea options?

    ReplyDelete
  70. @Anon 5:18am

    Anelka is a goal scorer?

    ReplyDelete
  71. Anelka can't score in his dreams. He's a typical "hasogolis"

    AcAN

    ReplyDelete
  72. @Anon 9:17

    I'd go for Phillips. He'll almost certainly start both B'ham matches.

    ReplyDelete
  73. Okay the teams are up, any thoughts on early barn door teams for next time out? I've quickly picked up this team:

    Kingson
    Luiz, Huth, Cahill
    Adam, Benayoun, Valencia, Jarvis
    Torres, Sturridge, Suarez
    3.6 left in bank

    Only have 4 DGers at the moment (Huth, Cahill, Jarvis, Sturridge), but it's an early platform to pick up others as values change. I'll keep Torres and wait and see how the DG works out - if he continues to perform poorly I can drop him for Dempsey or someone similar. I'd love to have Begovic or Schwarzer in goal, but both are pricey.

    ReplyDelete