Friday, 16 September 2011

Week 5 - Update

Wow, this is a tough one. We have almost no decent news from the manager's press conferences today; there's loads of uncertainty over who will/won't start so it makes it difficult to give you decent advice. I'll just go with what we have been told and make a few assumptions, and maybe we can discuss things in the comments section/chat-room.

First up, it appears that Steve Fletcher is really struggling to make it for Wolves game vs QPR - he hasn't trained all week, so that means Kevin Doyle will need a new partner. As I mentioned in my Player Picks, Stephen Ward is the favourite to be that partner and as a midfielder listed below 6 he could be cracking value. It's not 100% but I may take the gamble as he'll definitely play left-back if he doesn't start upfront and he has scored already from that position this season. Jarvis it fit to start so he'll join a strong midfield including Hunt (who has trained without issue this week) and O'Hara.

There's a decent chance we'll get the Arsenal team news before tomorrow's deadline (Twitter is our best bet from around 11:45am) but we can already take an educated guess on the line-up. I think Gibbs may keep his place as he's done nothing wrong, but Santos is a real option for Wenger now he's made his debut in the Champions League. Ramsey is a big doubt so Benayoun should get a start (bargain @ 3). Gervinho and Alex Song are back from suspension but Verm & Wilshere are out.

Manchester United are likely to field their strongest teams against Chelsea as they look to keep their excellent start to the season. This means DDG in goal, Young, Nani, Rooney & Hernandez all starting. News on unclear on the Smalling/Evans decision and Ferguson must decide whether he goes with Fletcher or Carrick in the middle with Tom Cleverly ruled out.

Across the road, Manchester City will be recovering from a tough debut game in the Champions League, so once again there is a rotation fear. However, an away game at Fulham is much tougher than a home game against Wigan, so I'd think Mancini would go full strength and make substitutions once the game is won. I can't see Dzeko or Nasri starting on the bench for two league games in a row, and I'm sure nobody will be dropping Aguero after last week.

Chelsea will still be without Didier Drogba who is suffering with the effects of concussion. John Terry and Frank Lampard will come back into the side after missing out against Bayer Leverkusen but I don't think I'll be going near any Blues player's this week, given the fixture they face.

Bolton could hand debuts to N'Gog, Tuncay & Kakuta after good performances for the reserves in midweek, but Holden is unlikely to be risked just yet. This news about the new boys does have me slightly worried about Martin Petrov, so that could mean I make a change. Coyle has also revealed he could make defensive changes after their recent run of heavy defeats, but provided no specific details on who could might make way.

Absolutely nothing useful coming out of Everton - Drenthe could start after scoring for the reserves, but might not, Cahill could play upfront, or he might be dropped in to midfield to accommodate Saha. The only sure things are probably Howard, Osman, Baines, Distin, Jagielka & Cahill - all others are a risk.

Spurs have had some good news - Rafael van der Vaart has a chance of returning from injury against Liverpool, but William Gallas and Aaron Lennon are still doubts, King could play but Michael Dawson is definitely out.

For Liverpool, Glen Johnsn is out and Steven Gerrard is likely to make the bench at best. He couldbe joined by And Carroll, with Suarez set to lead the line again.

That's everything useful I could find.

Here are two possible teams I'm considering.

DDG, Boyata, Gibbs, Baines, Ward, Wright-Phillips, M.Petrov, Silva, Adebayor, Aguero, Rooney

Or

DDG, Rangel, Gibbs, Baines, Wright-Phillips, Benayoun, Hunt, Silva, Adebayor, Aguero, Rooney

Obvious fears about Gibbs, Petrov & Ward in the first team; Gibbs & Benayoun are the worries in the 2nd team. I had considered bringing in Van Persie for Adebayor instead of spanking 18+ on Baines, but that thought has left me now as I want to keep Ade at 5ish. As I type this I realise I'm not convinced by either of the teams above, so I think it's back to the drawing board.

Tough week! How's your team coming along?

Cheers,
AM

56 comments:

  1. first! Thanks AM for the hard work

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  2. I think I'll stick to my last week's team, all manchesters and arsenal. why would I gamble on which one will score more ohara or hunt or jarvis when i have young, silva, nasri and benayoun.

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  3. Gibbs or Santos? Gibbs price is unbeatable, but the potential for rotation makes me wary.

    Arsenal are hard to figure out, careful with Benayoun too, he might not start with Arshavin starting instead.

    At this point Enrique, Silva, Suarez and Aguero are my only undroppables. Everyone rotates.

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  4. Ah, the Aguero stomach churn. Last week I decided to drop Dzeko AND Aguero b/c I wasn't sure which would start and I'm trying to go with certain starters every game this season. Thankfully I had Adebayor to make up some of the non-Aguero wound. Then I snapped him up on the Barn Door, of course.

    However, he played the whole Napoli game. Makes me think Dzeko/Tevez up front at Fulham w/ Aguero given a rest, considering he's started every game this season except his first for the club. But now I've got him at 8+ so is it worth the risk of dropping him, since he'll probably be back in the squad next week to cut Everton to ribbons at home? Or maybe even come on to work his magic as a super sub against Fulham? Is 8+ worth the risk of not starting?

    Ah! Any input would be welcomed.

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  5. Keep Aguero at any price is my view, even from the bench v tired fulham will result in points galore... Who would you replace him with?

    AM I think Ade is a risk, don't like Gibbs or MPet, can you take team 2 with Boyata replacing Gibbs and Ward replacing Ade?

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  6. Currently my team is like this:

    DeGea
    Gibbs,Mertesacker,Richards
    Silva,Nasri,Osman,Benayoun
    Dzeko,RVP,Aguero

    The only change I am considering is RVP for Rooney (with lesser MF) or Hernandez (with upgraded MF) but I think that RVP will score (If I keep him I will be looking for the brace at a minimum).
    Gibbs makes me nervous but did not feature midweek so I feel comfortable keeping him.
    Nasri did not look good in Week 3 nor the CL but always has potential to explode.

    Here is hoping for quality Managerial decisions this week.

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  7. Geoff, i'm in exactly the same boat. I'm gonna keep him. It's very frustrating though because playing definite starters with nice match-ups really is the best strategy. I think we must make an exception with aguero though. Even @ 8.45 i must concede he is probably well worth keeping all season. My team:

    De Gea
    Baines Richards Gibbs
    Taarabt Osman Petrov Hunt
    Adebayor Aguero Bendtner

    Have enough to get Santos for Gibbs if team sheets come through in time. Still might go Bendtner --> Klasnic if Gibbs starts.

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  8. Please give me some advice
    DDG
    gibbs? brown boyata
    nasri young walcott silva
    dzeko aguero suarez

    walcott or arteta
    maybe adam for nasri???

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  9. @Geoff

    I had Aguero (6.+) in week one and dropped him last week but in my opinion that mistake will not happen again as I too have him at (8.+) currently. Barring 6 plus weeks out for injury I would not drop him again.

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  10. Team:
    Jaaskelainen
    Gibbs/Brown/Boyata
    Silva/Young/Nasri/SWP
    Aguero/Hernandez/RVP

    Bad feeling at letting Adebayor go at such a good discount but there are still good (possible) replacements. Gervinho on the door to name one.

    No Rooney. Felt Hernandez could bring about the same point total for far less. RVP scares me a little, mainly because AM is not picking him and he seems to really like RVP.

    Well..good luck everyone.

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  11. Yes, it's often good to play the matchups, and not take zeros just to keep a discount.

    BUT...there are always exceptions to that rule. And, I believe, Aguero is one of them. At 6+ or 8+, I would keep him, because I doubt his price will ever drop much lower than it is now for the rest of the season, barring injury.

    The one I'm not sure about is Dzeko. I have him @13.71. Is he worth it at that price? Can he keep scoring like he has been? Or, switch him for Suarez or Hernandez?

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  12. @Miku$Army

    I realise man city have been scoring for fun and have some nice fixtures on the horizon, but honestly 4 attacking players from 1 team is too much. They will not continue to smash teams all season long, there will be games (maybe @ fulham) when they only have 4 shots on target as a whole team. I think you should drop Nasri and Dzeko and use these spots for players with good match-ups.

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  13. Also, i realise it's exactly this loading up strategy that has paid off so handsomely up until now. Change is on the horizon though, starting with a Rooney thaw out.

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  14. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  15. Starting with a Rooney freeze i suppose i meant to say :/

    you know what i mean..

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  16. what do ya think of my squad? (im too scared to rid of Dzeko)

    D. De Gea

    K. Gibbs - P. Mertesacker - John Arne Riise

    D. Silva - A. Young - T. Walcott - S. Ward

    S. Agüero - E. Dzeko -I. Klasnic

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  17. Thanks for the help fellow managers! For 8+ he may very well be a season-keeper from now on. I regretted dropping him when I had him for 6+ last week - probably won't let that happen again. Again, who would I replace him with who will produce his kinds of points over the course of the season for that price?

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  18. Cee Pee,
    Check that Riise is fit to play - I remember reading somewhere that he (and his bro) are not fit.
    Pauly

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  19. Who should I sell (or keep both?)

    Aguero @ 8.45 (now 13.38)
    Dzeko @ 9.90 (now 15.19)

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  20. My current Squad,

    DDG
    Gibbs - Mertesacker - Brown
    Silva - Young - SWP - Nasri
    Aguero - Rooney - Dzeko

    Any Update about Aguero? Dzeko? or Tevez?
    Which player would you choose? A choice dilemma (_ _!)

    虎-Thệ Tổk Im∆m-¬MYѬ™

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  21. With all the possible Bolton debuts, what's that do for Klasnic?

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  22. Should I drop rooney n buy someone like Aguero or RVP??
    BY team formation:
    DDG
    Gibbs - Boyata - Brown
    Silva - J.McEachran* - Young - Ward
    Dzeko - Klasnic - Rooney

    J.McEachran is for saving money

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  23. Hernandez or Aguero what are your thoughts and which one do you think is certain to play?

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  24. Hernandez will most likely start with rooney but I am not very sure about Aguero

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  25. Dzeko or Aguero hu should I buy

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  26. Took some risks this week so hopefully i will catch up for my 2 week slack...

    Jaaskelainen

    Baines, Mertesuckaa, Boyata

    Ward, Silva, Cahill, Larsson

    Aguero, Gervinho, Adebayor


    So that's the squad for this week... Good luck

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  27. steven wtf are you on about gibbs played mid week, a full game if im not mistaken dunno what u were watching. nasri has looked brilliant in a city shirt every minute he has played, he supplied the cross for aguero which he hit bar which led to free kick equalliser. he has already set up 4 goals for city this season 2 more than his arsenal total, hate to admit it as an arsenal fan, him and silva are quality together reminds me of iniesta and xavi.

    on a lighter note, im keeping rvp in my team at 20 plus cause he always scores against blackburn, 20 plus points this week please robin (fingers crossed)

    good luck all

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  28. Guys what do you think of my team?

    Begovic
    Boyota - Brown - Baines
    Taarabt - SWP - Henderson - Nani
    Adebayor - Klasnic - Gervinho

    Please give me your feedback as its my first time and i would really like some help. Thanks :)

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  29. Thanks Edward. Does anyone know if Gibbs will start. he appears to be fit to play?

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  30. DDG

    gibbs | richards | baines

    silva | osman | swp | Young

    agüro | adebayor | klasnic

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  31. DDG

    Gibbs M.Wilson Brown

    Silva Young Nasri Walcott

    Aguero Dzeko Suarez

    What do you think?

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  32. Szcz
    Mertesacker Brown Baines
    Silva Osman SWP Ward
    RVP Aguero Gervinho

    Not sure about Baines as it forced me to dropped Walcott. Gervinho is a big hunch and hopefully Ward will pay my faith in him. Seems I'll keep Aguero eventhough he's in rotation doubt unless he got injured that will keep him for a few weeks.

    My only regret is for not having Klasnic, Walcott and Hernandes to accomodate Gervinho and Baines.

    I've saved it anyway, so we'll just see ^^.

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  33. Normally Arsenal team news would be available this time of the day. I could find anything yet.

    Anyone knows anything about Gunner's team sheet, please share!!!

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  34. Thx for all the info...newbie in fantasy this year...

    DDG
    Mertesacker Gibbs/Santos Kaboul
    Silva SWP M.Petrov Cabaye
    Suarez Kun Dzeko

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  35. anyone knows which website to get the latest arsenal v blackburn starting lineup?

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  36. I asked that and they said it would be posted in the chatroll on this site

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  37. Seems that chatroll is not working! Anyone have another chatroom to talk about the lineup?

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  38. how can I have Arsenal's line-up??

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  39. Have a look herehttp://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/team-news/
    They predict the line ups

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  40. Tweeted by Arsenal.com:

    "Arsenal team to face Swansea: Szczesny, Sagna, Mertesacker, Koscielny, Gibbs, Frimpong, Arteta, Ramsey, Walcott, Arshavin, Van Persie (c)."

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  41. Cheers Dave was gonna replace Gibbs with Santos :)

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  42. Guys santos is starting it seems not Gibbs

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  43. Good thing they playing blackburn n not Swansea.

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  44. Also Ramsay is back with Song Arteta and Gervinho and Arshavin. No Yossi

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  45. Szczesny, Sagna, Koscielny, Mertesacker, Santos, Song, Arteta, Ramsey, Gervinho, Arshavin, Van Persie

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  46. donot mislead dave
    Szczesny, Sagna, Koscielny, Mertesacker, Gibbs, Song, Arteta, Benayoun, Gervinho, Walcott, Van Persie

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  47. #Arsenal team to play Blackburn: Szczesny, Sagna, Mertesacker, Koscielny, Santos, Song, Arshavin, Arteta, Ramsey, Gervinho, Van Persie

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  48. aargh i was seconds late to replace gibbs with brown. That's already a zero for me this week

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  49. Forgive me, I've been had. I'll refrain from ever putting any confidence in Twitter again. I sincerely apologize for passing on that misinformation.

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  50. Made last minute switch from Gibbs to Hutton, hope it works out

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  51. there are so many misleading tweets
    final
    Szczesny, Sagna, Mertesacker, Koscielny, Santos, Song, Arshavin, Arteta, Ramsey, Gervinho, Van Persie
    subs: Fabianski, Djourou, Fabianski, Gibbs, Chamakh, Benayoun, Coquelin

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  52. THX GUYS ....MADE THE Gibbs to Santos switch.

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