Wednesday, 16 March 2011

Week 30 - Player Picks

I normally write a purely football related introduction for these posts, but it's been a week for some perspective.

Less than a month after New Zealand was hit by an earthquake which killed close to 200 people, Japan has been hit by tragedy on an even larger scale as an earthquake & tsunami has left thousands dead and thousands more missing. There are many other awful examples, and the utter devastation occurring around the world is shocking. My heart goes out to the victims, their families and anyone affected by these tragic events.

The week has also brought extremely sad news from inside football. Barcelona's Eric Abidal has been diagnosed with a liver tumour and will have surgery later this week, while former Manchester United & England captain Bryan Robson has been diagnosed with throat cancer. I wish them both a full & speedy recovery.

Taking all this in makes you realise how brittle our existence is and how little the game of football matters in the grand scheme of things. But football does do one very important thing - it brings people together, from all walks of life and from all around the world. The global following of this blog is a prime example and I'm sure some of our readers have been affected in some way by the disasters. I pray you and your families are safe, and my thoughts - and I'm sure the thoughts of all our followers - are with you.

On to the task at hand.

Stand-Out
MAN UTD v Bolton
ARSENAL @ West Brom
SPURS v West Ham
ASTON VILLA v Wolves

United were hardly convincing last night & Bolton are on a good run, but they tend to get the job done at Old Trafford. Arsenal need to snap out of their funk now to keep up their title & I think they will with a win at the Hawthorns. West Ham have had a bit of revival but Spurs should have too much for them at White Hart Lane & I fancy Aston Villa to beat a Wolves side who have the worst away record in the league.

Should Win
LIVERPOOL @ Sunderland
EVERTON v Fulham
BLACKBURN v Blackpool

If Liverpool can keep up the tempo they showed vs United then I see a narrow away win for them at the Stadium of Light, with Suarez likely to shine again. Fulham are another team who find it difficult away from home so I think Everton will edge it, and I'm tipping Blackburn to scrape the 3 points vs Blackpool in a huge relegation battle at Ewood Park.

Draw/Close
Chelsea v Man City
Stoke v Newcastle
Wigan v Birmingham

Chelsea have been on a great run recently but Man City will pack the midfield and make it very difficult to break them down, so I see a draw in the big game this weekend. Stoke v Newcastle & Wigan v Birmingham have 1-1 written all over them.

With all that in mind...

KEEPERS
Van Der Sar
Friedel
Howard
Al-Habsi

DEFENDERS
Smalling
Walker
Luiz
Kolarov
Bale
Baines/Coleman
Skrtel
Shawcross
Koscielny
Heitinga

MIDFIELDERS
Nani
Nasi
Van Der Vaart
Hitzlsperger
A Young
Lampard
Adam
Arshavin
Hoilett
Meireles
Lennon
N'Zogbia
Valencia

STRIKERS
Van Persie
Rooney
Hernandez
Bent
Defoe
Suarez
Beckford
Torres

That's it - I'll try to add my analysis for each position later tonight or tomorrow.

My team currently:

Friedel, Kolarov, Smalling, Walker, Hitzlsperger, Nasri, Young, Van Der Vaart, Bent, Suarez, Defoe

1.3m left in the bank.

My keeper, defence & Hitz will stay, but the rest is open to change. I accept I need to find a way to fit Nani and/or Van Persie in. This will probably mean dumping VDV and/or Ashley Young and I'll probably downgrade Nasri if RvP comes in. I'm not sure which striker to drop or exactly how my team will end up looking, but there's certainly a lot to think about.

I'll leave it there, but please check back on Friday for my update post containing all the important team and injury news. Until then, please let me know how your Week 30 team is shaping up!

Cheers,
AM

95 comments:

  1. RvP/Hernandez or Roo/Bent

    ReplyDelete
  2. friedel
    kolarov walker smalling
    vdv adam meireles hitz
    rvp ba suarez.
    no chelsea,man u,city attacking player..
    hope van persie will bounce back at his full price

    ReplyDelete
  3. My team atm :

    Howard
    Kola,Shaw,Walker
    VDV,Nasri,Hitz,Hoilett
    Bent,Defoe,Hernandez..

    ReplyDelete
  4. Great post, Nik. How can one NOT be affected by the images coming out of Japan, regardless of if you have personal ties to the country or not. It's truly a horrendous event, and they are still not out of danger. I can't even imagine what it must be like to experience something like that first hand.

    Peace to all.

    ReplyDelete
  5. hey AM

    what are your views on baines(arteta is injured) and giggs/valencia?

    thanks

    ReplyDelete
  6. OK, on to Football ...

    What do people think of Demba Ba? 4 games, 4 goals, 13.88 points average. Still fairly cheap. Maybe the match-up isn't the best this week.

    Currently:
    VdS
    Kol-Luiz-Walker
    Hitz-Nasri-Osman-VdV
    Ba-Suarez-Bent

    Osman is my only hold-over from the double week. I think he might be worth keeping @7.73. Thoughts?

    If I drop VdS to Friedel, I can upgrade Ba to RvP, but still not enough for Nani. I'll have to think about that one.

    ReplyDelete
  7. second 2nd batokalf... hahaha

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  8. Brilliant post Nik. My prayers go out to all of victims and families affected by this natural disaster, and I hope Abidal and Robson make full recoveries.

    On a more optimistic and fantasy football related note, my team is:

    Friedel
    David Luiz / Smalling / Walker
    VDV / Hitzlsperger @5 / Osman @6 / Nasri
    Bent / Suarez / RVP @ full price (ouch)

    1.13 in the bank

    Should I swap RVP with Rooney? What about Charlie Adam? Any advice/comments on my team would be appreciated.

    Hope all is well with everyone,

    Chad

    ReplyDelete
  9. Top post Nik.

    I'm having real trouble trying to decide my team this week, there are simply too many good options. Whatever you do, you're bound to miss out on a high scorer. I'm currently settled on:

    Howard
    Kolarov Walker Smalling
    Nani VDV Hitz Nasri
    Bent Defoe Hernandez

    I like this team, but i'm uneasy with not having Young, Persie and Rooney.

    Irons

    ReplyDelete
  10. no mention of the brutal killing in libya and some other middle eastern countries/

    ReplyDelete
  11. is Olsson a good choice ?
    blackburn defender
    any comments
    and wat about fabio ?

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  12. Prayers for the people of Japan.....Hopefully the loss of life will be limited against the predictions, as property (in time) will be replaced. Families..I cannot even imagine.

    A tip of the hat to you Nik for encouraging us to keep whats important in clear view during this time, and the times that are sure to follow...

    Prayers to you also and your family, that they never see such a day.

    ReplyDelete
  13. It's worth to mention that Paul Scholes will be suspended for the next 2 games due to YC accumulation. Thanks AM for the great picks!...as always.

    -Saul

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  14. you just did ayb50

    How about Beausejour at Birmingham. 2 goals in 2 games. I have him at 7.68 and up against Wigan. Current team.

    Howard
    Luiz Heitinga Bale
    VDV Hitz Kuyt Lamps Osman
    Defoe Suarez

    Kuyt may go and Beausejour comes in. That would give me an extra 2.01 to play around with.

    BCB
    Up to 435th

    ReplyDelete
  15. ayb50 - I think the fact he posted this was a kind gesture, he can't list every global issue.

    Thanks for the thoughtful post Nick, and great picks as always.

    Damien

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  16. And great post AM - All my sympathies to our brothers in Japan and Family/Friends. Wish them the best in these dark times.

    -Saul

    ReplyDelete
  17. Five game touchline ban for Fergie time. Also fined $30k, but that is walking around money for Fergie so I doubt it will impact him greatly.

    Just curious, when Fergie is not on the touchline, is "Fergie time" still in effect?

    http://www.skysports.com/story/0,19528,11661_6817025,00.html

    ReplyDelete
  18. Thanks for a wonderful post Nik! My family's from Japan and everyone we know of is safe...my prayers and thoughts go out to all those affected, as well as the people recovering in NZ. I cannot begin to imagine what people are going through both physically and emotionally after such an ordeal.

    As for my team

    Howard
    Kolarov Smalling Walker
    Hitz Young Silva VdV Nasri
    Suarez RvP

    I have Silva at 7, but I will probably drop him. I could swap him straight for Valencia or think about reshuffling my midfield...

    Two big decisions I'm juggling are Rooney for RvP and Bale for VdV. What do you think?

    ReplyDelete
  19. ayb-50....

    We offer our thoughts and prayers from within..

    Not by instructing others to do so.

    ReplyDelete
  20. Thoughts and prayers to all those affected and to those that will be affected in the future from these tragic events.

    Ive managed to fit both RVP and Nani into my team thanks to a cheap keeper and 4 cheap defenders.

    Friedel
    Kolorav Smalling Walker Heitinga
    VDV Nani Hitz
    RVP Suarez Bent

    Id prefer not to have 4 defenders and would like to drop Heitinga but that would require me to downgrade VDV RVP or Nani so i may leave it. What do you guys think?

    C-Hawk

    ReplyDelete
  21. C-Hawk

    If both at full price.

    Drop Nani
    Add A.Young
    Use extra funds to drop Heitinga
    Add Luiz

    Goals seem to be for M.U Strikers lately

    ReplyDelete
  22. Thanks, i do have both at full price and if i were to drop one it would be Nani for sure. I like Luiz but if i drop Heitinga id prefer to add another mid and go with a 3-4-3.

    C-Hawk

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  23. @AM: All players the same except for my Howard/Lampard versus your Fridel/Nasri

    Best of luck sir :D

    ReplyDelete
  24. Freidel
    Luiz/ Huth/ Walker/ Bale
    Pedersen/ Valencia/ Richardson
    Bent/ Gyan/ Suarez

    With plenty of cash to play around with..

    Gyan could go for Ba or Chicarito

    Richardson could go for a midfielder worth 10-ish

    For some reason I fancy Sunderland this week though

    ReplyDelete
  25. Backcountry Dave7:08 pm, March 16, 2011

    Just came across this on the Guardian site and felt I should pass it along. Amazing animation of Gareth Bale against Inter.

    http://www.runofplay.com/s/17571/

    Enjoy,

    Backcountry Dave

    ReplyDelete
  26. Last one promise. Just can't help myself.

    C-Hawk

    Maybe drop Nani
    Add either Adam/Nasri

    If you have zero in bank then you should have about 8.43 with dropping Heitinga.I like Maxi Rodriguez/Liverpool. Got a hunch.

    If you have a nice 1.5 in the bank + 8.43 then I suggest Giggs.

    Nani/Heitinga or Nasri/Giggs. No funds left Nasri/Rodriguez

    ReplyDelete
  27. Howard
    Kolarov/Luiz/Walker
    Lampard/Hitz/Nasri/Nani
    Welbeck/Defoe/Suarez

    Welbeck is my one surprise pick, I guess. But liking the team. Don't we always have high hopes though?

    ReplyDelete
  28. Howard
    Kolarov Walker Figueroa
    Nani VdV Hoillet Hitz A.Young
    VanPersie Chicharito

    I dropped Luiz because i see a lot of cards in the Citeh/Chelsea match. i'm worried about chicharito cos you don't know what SAF will do.

    Ebi/Den of Thieves

    ReplyDelete
  29. Who's this Hoilett guy and why is everyone picking him?

    ReplyDelete
  30. Very well put thoughts, AM. Since donating to relief efforts is as easy as sending a text I hope everyone here will contribute what they can.

    How about Kevin Phillips as a cheap filler up front? I read he's agitating for more playing time. At 1.79 if he gets a SOT he's more than paid for himself, and if he scores ... Could be this year's Tuncay, and gives you more than two points to spend elsewhere over Carew. Who knows when Stoke will score again in the league?

    ReplyDelete
  31. Let me qualify my comment abt Stoke ... they haven't scored a goal in open play since January 4.

    ReplyDelete
  32. Are you still bullish on EVDS even with the injury "crisis" afflicting the back line of Man U? No Vidic, Rafael, O'Shea, or Ferdinand.

    ReplyDelete
  33. AM,

    Been trying to figure out how to contact you privately, as I thought this clip would make a great blog post in itself (if you can place YouTube Videos on blogspot) rather than just a link on a comment.

    The animation is incredible, and the soundtrack and commentary made me tingle, even though i'm not a spurs fun, so I hope it has the same effect on you:

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cRZMjHzWXQc&feature=player_embedded

    Great to see you mentioning Japan, Abidal & Robson in your opening paragraphs. These events & other things in my life have really made me think recently about the fragility of life and made me change some of my attitudes to start achieving things I keep putting off.

    ReplyDelete
  34. Thanks for all the positive responses guys.

    Raconteur - it's great isn't it mate! I became aware of the Bale animation via Football365 last week. It truly is stunning and I recommend anyone who hasn't viewed it click the link provided.

    ReplyDelete
  35. My apologies for not knowing how all of the different tournaments link together with the EPL but will RvP be suspended for this week's game because he received a red card in the FA Cup v Barca?
    Mahalo,

    - Toekicker

    ReplyDelete
  36. Any thoughts on Heitinga getting more run with Arteta being injured?

    Mahalo,

    -Toekicker

    ReplyDelete
  37. Hi guys

    My team for this week is

    Friedel
    Smalling, Walker, Kolorov
    Nani, Lampard, Rodwell, Sandro, Hitzelsperger
    RVP, Suarez

    I know i have 2 fillers in Rodwell and Sandro but i think Nani and RVP will go very big this week. Lampard is @17 so im gonna keep him as Chelsea have a double week in a few weeks and Chelsea have good match ups.

    Any suggestions?

    Thanks
    LC

    ReplyDelete
  38. @Toekicker

    RvP is NOT suspended for league matches.

    And from Fantasy Football Scout: Phil Neville is a doubt for Everton after suffering a hamstring injury against Liverpool which also saw him miss the visit of Birmingham. He should come in at right-back and replace Tony Hibbert in the side, with Johnny Heitinga continuing in defensive midfield alongside Jack Rodwell.

    Looks like Heitinga could be a good filler but he does have an average of 1.33 for a reason...

    ReplyDelete
  39. do you think Chicharito will be rested for the weekend? Berba hasn't played in a while and I don't want to put Chicharito in my team if he's not starting.

    ReplyDelete
  40. Hi AM

    My team

    Friedel
    Huth, Walker, Evra, Vidic
    Adam, Pedersen, Etherington, Brunt
    Jerome, Bent

    SL

    ReplyDelete
  41. Friedel
    Kolarov Smalling Dawson
    Nani VDV Nasri Hitzlsperger
    Suarez RVP Bent


    Any suggestions?

    ReplyDelete
  42. how long is Toure's ban? need to decide if I keep Lescott at 6.2 ?

    ReplyDelete
  43. @ToeKicker: Definately a lot of difference between the Champions League and the FA Cup, had it actually been the FA Cup then yes, but since it was a European Competition the answer is no, not suspended.

    ReplyDelete
  44. Howard

    Smalling, Walker, Coleman

    Giggs, Nasri, Clevery, Etherington

    Rooney, bent, Defoe

    Pls comment
    Max

    ReplyDelete
  45. pls help me.bale or rvp.thanx for urs helps

    ReplyDelete
  46. Thanks for the RvP clarification.
    My Team:
    Almunia
    Kolarov - Walker - Smalling - Heitinga
    VDV (@6) - Nasri - der Hammer
    Bent - Defoe - Suarez

    Still have 16.84 left in the bank. Any suggestions? Change Defense or drop Defender to include another middie but who to drop?

    Mahalo
    -Toekicker

    ReplyDelete
  47. currently at:Friedel

    K.Walker G.Bale J.Heitinga

    R.Van Der Vaart S.Nasri T.Hitzlsperger D.Etuhu

    Luis Suarez J.Carew R.Van Persie

    ReplyDelete
  48. @ Toekicker,
    "Still have 16.84 left in the bank"... Are you kidding me??? If true, then upgrade Heitinga to Bale (confirm Bale's training ground injury status though...)

    @ AM,
    You're the man! But when will you be 29?

    My thoughts go out to all the victims of natural and man-made disasters world-over!!!

    Let's spread LOVE, not hate...

    Best regards to all!

    Tayo.
    (Port Harcourt).

    ReplyDelete
  49. Wonder if 'Arry will do us all a favour on friday and tell us what his starting line up is for the game against the 'Ammers? I can't decide between Bale and VdV (both at full price).

    Also a warning to other manager's I've picked Darren Bent and he's never done well when I've picked him.

    ReplyDelete
  50. @ToeKicker: I would definately drop Heitinga
    (3.76) for Nani (19.11) A.Young (16.81) with the available funds.

    ReplyDelete
  51. wonder why S.Downing not in the list? Is he injured?

    ReplyDelete
  52. oh yeah, and O'Hara as well. anyone can confirm?

    ReplyDelete
  53. LOL. sry Toekicker, but that RvP question had me in stitches. :D

    ReplyDelete
  54. Friedel
    Smalling/Heitinga/Luiz
    VDV/Adam/A.Young/Hitz
    Bent/Defoe/Suarez

    Problem is, that it looks like everyone's team.
    Friedel..happy
    Smalling..worried
    Heitinga..filler/zero (or worse) if not a clean sheet?
    VDV...not sure but love match up
    Adam...Hope the time off gives fresh legs..worried about yellow cards or worse.
    A. Young...should be good
    Hitz...Going with the flow
    Bent...(WTF)has never done well with my team/everyone seems to have him/Can't find anyone so far to replace him, but continue to TRY. Have at 10.52
    Defoe..picked up on door,but would really like to know (IF) he is truly a good start?
    Suarez..Like him more all the time especially at current price.
    Only .25 left in bank.

    When I first look at my team I see a lot of potential for goals/points.

    If I look at it for more then 1 minute I hate it.

    I need to take chances. Currently 5th but only 63 points between 5th & 2nd in my league.

    Is this the week to move ahead or just try and keep pace????

    ReplyDelete
  55. Sorry, but I just have to comment.

    16.84 left in bank?????

    Misprint I hope.

    I guarantee you will get a zero with that investment.

    ReplyDelete
  56. how about torres AM? is he a good pick & will score?

    ReplyDelete
  57. @ Ken

    An alternative to Bent at that price would be Hernandez - in good form, has a good match-up, and seems to have got ahead of Berbs.

    But then, none of that guarantees him to start! Who knows what goes on in the mind of SAF?

    ReplyDelete
  58. @Jon

    Thank you. Hernandez was very much on my radar but I also have (small) concern about playing time as you mentioned. M.U Games to follow make him even more of a good choice but then we are back to playing time.

    Must say I am considering Giggs at midfield to replace Bent and use slightly extra funds to help at defense but there is little to go around. My discounts mean little to me at this point as they are few and far between. It is shoot from the hip from here to the end...

    Good luck to you

    ReplyDelete
  59. What about getting Carroll now that he seems to be back for Liverpool? Thank you.

    ReplyDelete
  60. Nani Nasi Yossi Habsi Persi Vieri. lol.

    ReplyDelete
  61. Great post as always, Nik.
    I think Suarez will do well Fantasy-wise but I think Liverpool @ Sunderland will be a closer to a draw than a 'Pool narrow win. Despite their recent revival, Liverpool are poor on the road

    ReplyDelete
  62. nasri or adam??plsssss help me...

    ReplyDelete
  63. Nani if you have the funds...Adam if you have to sacrifice other good players.

    ReplyDelete
  64. Nani/filler or VDV/Wilshere ?? Who has the better matchup Nani or VDV?

    Canton Gunners

    ReplyDelete
  65. "16.84 left in bank????? Misprint I hope. I guarantee you will get a zero with that investment"

    I won the week last week and had 7.1 left, so it's possible to do well, or get very lucky :-)

    ReplyDelete
  66. Sorry..no harm ment. I'm Jealous that's all.

    Not quite sure if I have ever had more then 1.0 left after picking a team.

    Hopefully, one day I will have the same problem.

    Apology if I sounded/implyed anything other the envy..

    Good luck this week

    ReplyDelete
  67. From BBC live text:

    "Fifteen starts for Mario Balotelli in a Manchester City shirt, which have brought eight yellow cards and two reds. There's something just not quite right about that boy. I worry about him".

    I don't think anyone is questioning his talent but guy is clearly a complete liability

    ReplyDelete
  68. My team

    Empty
    Empty Empty Empty
    Empty Empty Empty Empty
    Empty Empty

    What do you guys recommend to make this better?

    ReplyDelete
  69. Some green beer...........

    ReplyDelete
  70. Balotelli is a complete and utter cu*t. Go spread the word. Inter did well to get rid of this troublemaking moron. Totti had the right idea...

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a0Zsd38GssA

    Irons.

    ReplyDelete
  71. Wow Liverpool sure do suck! Maybe Welbeck and Gyan aren't looking too bad at ~10...

    ReplyDelete
  72. Difficult to pick a team this week, lots of good options which inevitably means missing out on some big scorers. My current team (will probably change):

    Friedel
    Kolarov/Luiz/Walker
    Hitzlsperger/Van der Vaart/Valencia/N'Zogbia
    Van Persie/Bent/Suarez
    2.59 left in bank

    Valencia won't get 90 minutes, but he will probably see some game time and only needs to get 7 points to return his value, which frees up funds for RVP and VDV.

    ReplyDelete
  73. suprise of the week = sandro @4.08

    ReplyDelete
  74. For those of you looking for a discount defense to fit in the likes of Nani and RvP and VdV
    Friedl (3.5)
    Wilson (2.94)
    G. Caldwell (3.64)
    Heitinga (3.76)

    A little different than the Howard, Walker, Smalling, Luiz line-ups.

    I think all have a decent chance at a CS and should all return their value this week.

    Ole'
    Tigers

    ReplyDelete
  75. Is my squad good?
    gk:reina/howard
    def: g.caldwell smalling luiz walker(they're all cheap :D)
    mid: nasri nani rodwell
    frd: RVP hernandez suarez

    WHo should i change?

    ReplyDelete
  76. Did anyone mention Albrighton? He is much cheaper than Young and Downing and can do as well. I'm also considering Fabio as a variation of David Luiz.

    My current team:
    Howard
    Walker-Smalling-Luiz
    Nani-Hitz-vdV-Nasri-Albrighton
    Gyan-Ba

    ReplyDelete
  77. Comment this squad PLEASE
    gk: friedel
    def: caldwell luiz smalling walker
    mid: nasri nani downing
    frd: suarez carew rooney

    or with rodwell and without carew?

    ReplyDelete
  78. how bout LAMPARD n BECKFORD? please comment on this...

    ReplyDelete
  79. Please help...

    Which of the 3 should I choose at full price?

    1. Nasri
    2. Bent
    3. Defoe

    I am leaning towards Nasri, but I already have RVP in my side. Bent and Defoe can be hit or miss but they are against weak oppositions.

    ReplyDelete
  80. how bout downing????

    ReplyDelete
  81. just the japanies are human other not!! :S

    ReplyDelete
  82. Saved Team is
    howard
    smalling heitinga walker
    vdv lamps hitz Beausejour
    defoe suarez rvp.
    2.6 left

    I could drop rvp and go 352 with nani in midfield.

    Thoughts

    ReplyDelete
  83. Ignoring price, who do you guys think will get more points - N'Zogbia or Adam?

    ReplyDelete
  84. Any comments are welcomed !
    Thanks !

    Friedel
    Kolarov - Smalling - Heitinga
    Hitzlsperger - VDV - Nasri - Silva
    Rooney - Suarez - RVP

    ReplyDelete
  85. my team....

    Howard
    Smalling/Walker/Luiz/Heitinga
    van der Vaart/Nani/Hitzlsperger
    Hernández/Suárez/Beckford

    ReplyDelete
  86. I have never posted on here but I have been reading your columns for the past 2 years. I think you had a very good column by starting it out with what is happening in real life instead of the fantasy world. I have been sending my prayers to the people involved in this horrible disaster since it happened. It is great to be playing fantasy sports but enjoy the people in your life since you never know what will happen next for you or them.

    Great post and please pray for anyone involved in it no matter how a person is affected by it. These people need all the help that anyone can give to them.

    On the other side, your fantasy posts are always great and I enjoy reading them every week to figure out my team and how to play the game. You do a fantastic job on it.

    ReplyDelete
  87. Everyone likes Smalling Heitinga and Walker. Iffy? Hit and miss? Cheap yet unproductive? This is a result of constantly changing lineups in an effort to get DGs the last few weeks. Not enough moolah left to make a good line up for the remaining season.

    ReplyDelete
  88. will Nani start?

    ReplyDelete
  89. http://www.gendercide.org/case_nanking.html

    Karma?

    ReplyDelete
  90. Smalling isn't gonna return much for a lot of us just swapped osman for Valencia ?

    ReplyDelete
  91. Keep posting stuff like this i really like it

    cialis online

    ReplyDelete